Sunday, 10 April 2016

MW-1 -10th april

Monsoon watch 2016 india
     We all are eagerly waiting for monsoon 2016.
Today we will talk about the parameters which are necessary for a good monsoon .
(1)El nino :Turning towards neutral and la nina in august.
INDICATOR:+VE.
(2)Seasonal low:No low yet in bay of bengal ,but soon a low might form.
Indicator:-ve.
(3)Mjo and ITCZ:Conditions are favoueable for development soon.
Indicator:+ve.
(4)Jet streams and lows have not shaped up yet .
Indicator:-ve.
As two out of four factors have not turned out positive ,monsoon 2016  may experience a delay in its onset.Monsoon may hit southern tip of kerela on 4-5th june.June would see  below normal rains in the country........next MW-2on21st april....these are my personal views through model study .

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